Today, Dylan concludes the episodes on Israel with part 3, specifically exploring scenarios for the future of the Israel-Hamas conflict, and the historic Israel-Palestine conflict. It boils down to what each actor involved in this conflict wants. However, in some cases, the individuals within a group want different outcomes from the wider group. Netanyahu, for example, has issues that will see him maintain the war for longer than others in Israel would likely want. The field of play could be changing. The Israelis have announced that the Rafah assault could be coming to an end, and eyes have now turned to the north with rising tensions with Lebanon. Does this have the potential to drag Iran back into a more active conflict against Israel? We'll break it all down here.
Episode Recorded On 26th June.
Links:
The Israel-Palestine 11-Part Written Series: https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/p/the-israel-palestine-series
Substack: https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/
The Geopolitics Database: https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/p/the-geopolitics-database
Sources:
https://theconversation.com/only-iran-can-benefit-from-the-coming-war-between-israel-and-hezbollah-233008
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/6/27/israel-warns-can-send-lebanon-back-to-stone-age-as-un-seeks-de-escalation
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hezbollah
https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/difficulties-facing-a-us-saudi-security-agreement/
https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20240311-israel-pm-categorically-rejects-palestinian-authority-rule-in-gaza/
https://theconversation.com/gaza-update-hamas-cant-be-destroyed-says-idf-as-netanyahu-eyes-war-with-hezbollah-233498
https://socialistworker.co.uk/palestine-2023/israel-eyes-up-lebanon-and-threatens-more-war/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/01/no-end-to-gaza-war-until-destruction-of-hamas-says-netanyahu-israel
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status_of_Jerusalem
https://history.state.gov/milestones/1977-1980/camp-david#:~:text=The%20Camp%20David%20Accords%2C%20signed,and%20Egypt%20in%20March%201979.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/palestinian-prime-minister-announces-new-reform-package-fighting-corruption-in-pa/
https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/peacetoprosperity/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_strikes_against_Israel
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trial_of_Benjamin_Netanyahu
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/18/us-veto-palestine-membership-request-united-nations-council
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/25/not-enough-why-us-did-not-veto-gaza-ceasefire-resolution-at-un
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/gaza-maps-destruction-israel-buffer-zone/
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/23/they-miscalculated-gazas-floating-aid-pier-failing-to-deliver-in-rough-seas
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz55y6k0p5go
https://www.timesofisrael.com/gantz-sets-june-8-deadline-for-pm-to-make-post-war-plan-or-hell-bolt-coalition/
https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/06/09/benny-gantz-and-gadi-eisenkot-leave-israels-war-cabinet
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw8860gn1nwo#:~:text=US%20President%20Joe%20Biden%20has,from%20populated%20areas%20of%20Gaza.
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkey-says-it-is-not-easing-israel-export-ban-2024-05-09/
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/6/6/spain-says-will-join-gaza-genocide-case-against-israel-at-icj#:~:text=It%20has%20called%20the%20genocide,join%20the%20case%20against%20Israel.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/2/12/court-orders-netherlands-to-halt-delivery-of-fighter-jet-parts-to-israel#:~:text=Israel%2DPalestine%20conflict-,Court%20orders%20Netherlands%20to%20halt%20delivery%20of%20fighter%20jet%20parts,violations%20of%20international%20humanitarian%20law'.
The Geopolitics Explained Podcast - Season 3 - Israel (Part 3)