France Makes Geopolitical Moves

Today, Dylan dives into a country that stole many headlines in the last month: France. From the flags of Azerbaijan being waved in the French overseas territory of New Caledonia, to a more active involvement in Ukraine, to providing Armenia with weapons and Macron calling snap legislative elections. What is going on and how does it all connect? I break it all down here.

Photo by Chris Karidis on Unsplash

Episode Recorded On 21st June.

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Links:

• New Caledonia Blog Post: ⁠https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/p/geopolitics-and-markets-review-10th-704⁠

• LinkTree: ⁠⁠⁠https://linktr.ee/geopoliticsexplained⁠⁠⁠

• Substack: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/⁠⁠⁠

• The Geopolitics Database: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/p/the-geopolitics-database⁠⁠⁠

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Sources:

• ⁠https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-accuse-france-fomenting-war-caucasus-arms-sale/#:~:text=The%20Kremlin%20on%20Wednesday%20accused,growing%20tensions%20with%20neighboring%20Azerbaijan⁠.

• ⁠https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/armenia-azerbaijan-trade-barbs-after-france-pledges-new-arms-yerevan-2024-06-20/⁠

• ⁠https://geopoliticsreport.substack.com/p/geopolitics-and-markets-review-10th-704⁠

• ⁠https://dsm.forecastinternational.com/2024/04/22/russia-exploits-western-vacuum-in-africas-sahel-region/⁠

• ⁠https://arabcenterdc.org/resource/the-coups-detat-of-the-sahel-region-domestic-causes-and-international-competition/⁠

• ⁠https://www.fpri.org/article/2024/04/us-withdrawal-from-niger-signals-a-shift-in-western-influence-in-the-sahel/⁠

• ⁠https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2023/02/russias-growing-footprint-in-africas-sahel-region?lang=en⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Barkhane#:~:text=On%209%20July%2C%20Macron%20stated,the%20first%20quarter%20of%202022⁠.

• ⁠https://elections.europa.eu/en/⁠

• ⁠https://www.france24.com/en/france/20240618-macron-defends-surprise-snap-election-call-most-responsible-solution-france⁠

• ⁠https://www.politico.eu/article/france-risks-debt-crisis-falling-under-brussels-imf-watch-if-macron-loses-finance-minister-bruno-le-maire-warns/⁠

• ⁠https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frances-national-rally-seen-leading-popular-vote-snap-elections-ifop-2024-06-20/⁠

• ⁠https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2024/jun/09/european-elections-results-2024-europe-eu-parliament⁠

• ⁠https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jun/19/macron-gamble-fate-french-people-far-right⁠

• ⁠https://www.politico.eu/article/france-risks-debt-crisis-falling-under-brussels-imf-watch-if-macron-loses-finance-minister-bruno-le-maire-warns/⁠

• ⁠https://www.france24.com/en/france/20240619-france-s-far-right-bardella-says-he-backs-ukraine-but-won-t-send-missiles-that-could-hit-russia⁠

• ⁠https://www.rfi.fr/en/france/20231101-macron-is-shopping-for-uranium-in-kazakhstan-after-the-loss-of-niger⁠

• ⁠https://theconversation.com/russia-has-tightened-its-hold-over-the-sahel-region-and-now-its-looking-to-africas-west-coast-228035⁠

• ⁠https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/turkey-influence-africa/⁠

• ⁠https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-42586108⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament⁠

• ⁠https://www.politico.eu/article/renew-faces-volt-setback-in-race-to-become-parliaments-third-force-greens/⁠

• ⁠https://www.euractiv.com/section/elections/news/german-far-right-give-up-on-id-to-form-own-parliamentary-group/⁠

• ⁠https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-19/le-pen-s-party-backs-arming-ukraine-says-no-french-troops⁠

• ⁠https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cnkkng554w8o⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Assembly_(France)#:~:text=The%20National%20Assembly%20(French%3A%20Assembl%C3%A9e,being%20the%20Senate%20(S%C3%A9nat⁠).

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_French_legislative_election⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_French_legislative_election⁠

• ⁠https://harris-interactive.fr/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2024/06/BVCXERDFYGBYH.pdf⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Rally⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Popular_Front⁠

• ⁠https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Together_(coalition)⁠

• ⁠https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2024/6/14/france-far-right-election⁠