Geopolitics and Markets Review - 18th December 2023

The Israel-Palestine Pie: My Conclusion On The Israel-Palestine Conflict

Contents

1. Introduction

2. The War Pie

3. The Foundations of The Peace Pie

4. The Details of The Peace Pie

5. Incentives Towards Peace

6. The Pathway To Peace - A Summary

7. Concluding Remarks

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Bitesize Edition

• Today, I conclude my work on the Israel-Palestine conflict. I discuss the current Israel-Hamas conflict also, but most who have read my series on works on this already know my point of view on this, which I will detail again in this piece.

• With Israel-Palestine, I’ll explore two key questions. Firstly, how can both be made to feel safe? Secondly, how do Israel and Palestine split the pie? Wars often erupt when the actors involved can’t decide how to split the pie in a way that benefits them all. They can decide to commit to the proper maintenance of the pie, together, in a strategy that is fair for all involved. In Israel-Palestine, this will be a long process. It has to be committed to, and the extreme aggression shown by Hamas and the right-wing nationalist government in power in Israel continues to fuel the fire.

• The trend has to be one of cooperation and communication. The path has to be towards peace. There are prerequisites to even getting on the road to this eventual destination. I’ll explore these aspects today.

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Introduction

How can both Israel and Palestine be made to feel safe? If we break this conflict and its escalations and de-escalations into its fundamental questions, one that arises for me is how can both exist in a situation in which they both feel safe.

For Palestine, they need a state in which Israel cannot be in the driver’s seat in determining their future. They need to be supported as they are given the reins to determine their future. They need the opportunity to do this.

For Israel, they need to be strong enough that an attack on them is deterred by a Palestinian state or others around them that show aggression, such as Lebanon or Syria. The trend towards Arab-Israeli normalization in the Middle East will support this, especially with Saudi Arabia being a leader in the Middle East. Others will follow suit.

What we require, is the splitting of the pie.